Monday Briefing

Early voting in Michigan on Sunday.Credit…Nick Hagen for The New York Times

75 million Americans have voted early

A day before Election Day, an anxious America, weary from the campaign and worried about the state of the nation’s democracy, is voting with determination, with roughly 75 million people having cast ballots in the early voting period. In nine states, more than 50 percent of eligible voters have already voted.

Projections from early voting indicate that the overall turnout will probably be between that of 2016, when roughly 60 percent of eligible voters turned out, and of 2020, when two-thirds of eligible voters participated, setting a modern record.

In the final set of Times/Siena College polls, Kamala Harris is now narrowly ahead in Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin, while Donald Trump leads in Arizona. They’re both locked in close races in Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania. But the results in all seven battleground states are within the margin of sampling error, meaning no candidate has a decisive lead.

Analysis: Usually, the final polls point toward a relatively clear favorite, even if that candidate doesn’t go on to win, wrote Nate Cohn, the Times’s chief political analyst. But this will not be one of those elections.

On the campaign trail: As Harris visited a church in Detroit yesterday, Trump told supporters that he “shouldn’t have left” the White House after the 2020 election.

Your questions: We asked Campbell Robertson, a national reporter, this question from a reader.

Campbell: On Pennsylvania’s corners sit two large, Democratic-voting cities — Philadelphia and Pittsburgh — surrounded by bands of increasingly liberal suburbs. But about half of Pennsylvania residents live outside these two major metro areas, in smaller cities and rural areas across the state. Many of these places were once humming with steel mills and factories, and home to many union members, a reliable Democratic base.

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